Keeping hold of the dream
July 2, 2010
Australia boasts that it survived the global financial crisis without major damage to its economy, nor to its financial institutions.
Act 1. The local supermarket.
June 24, 2010
They had argued before they voted, although they were always testy on Saturday mornings. He said a vote for the Greens would be a wasted vote. She said a vote for the Liberal guy would be a sell out.
Getting cars off our roads is easier said than done
June 2, 2010
I walk to work.
So I am one of only 9% of Sydney commuters that have no need for roads or public transport to get to work. [Read more]
Developers holding on to construction-ready land releases
May 26, 2010
The NSW Department of Planning’s latest Metropolitan Development Program report gives the official figures on the amount of land available in Sydney for new housing. This information is important in understanding Sydney’s housing market and how Sydney’s housing needs can be met into the future.
Currently, there are 1.6 million dwellings in Sydney. By 2036, an additional 770,000 dwellings need to be built to cater for an extra 1.5 million people.
It is expected that only 30% of these new dwellings will be in greenfields areas. The lion’s share of additional dwellings – 70% of the total – will be in existing parts of Sydney.
“Unfortunately, though, daily rants from the property industry lobby, and the generous reception given them by the metropolitan media, stymie quality information flows and crush proper debate.”
This may appear to be an ambitious target. Yet the Department of Planning claims that in the last 10 years, 79% of Sydney’s new dwellings have been built in existing urban areas.
But shouldn’t the NSW government be concentrating on the release of more greenfields lands and so drive down house prices, you might ask?
The MDP report provides information unlikely to be promulgated by property industry lobbyists.
A close reading of the MDP report shows the problem is not the rate that land is released for new housing, but the rate at which released land is made available by property developers. The MDP report shows that the amount of rezoned land ready for housing construction is the highest since records began. 30,176 lots are ready for subdivision immediately. Land rezoned but not yet serviced by the developers will yield another 38,469 lots. On top of these, land for a further 111,920 dwellings has been identified in the North West and South West Growth Centres while a further release of land for 11,500 new dwellings is being planned in North Wyong.
The figures show that a substantial supply of greenfields land is ready for the construction of new housing while an even greater reserve supply is in the pipeline.
Checking the MDP report’s figures against ABS data on new dwelling approvals confirms the report’s claim that the rate of land release in Sydney isn’t a problem. ABS data show that of 18,375 new dwelling approvals for Sydney in 2007-8, just 6686 involved houses. The rest were apartments and the like. In 2008-9, there were 14,013 new dwelling approvals for Sydney but only 6038 of these were for houses.
So the ABS data tell us that the supply of land in Sydney is very much ahead of the rate of house construction. So where’s the problem?
Lobbyists for the property industry say government charges need to be lowered to encourage housing construction. But what if government charges aren’t the problem? What if the desire to live on Sydney’s fringes is fading. What if people now judge the edge of the city to be far away, the cost of commuting too high, the daily battle with road congestion too infuriating? And what if land owners are banking their land until prices rise not fall?
Have we reached a stalemate between what buyers want and what sellers are offering?
Complex questions here need answers. The MDP report’s largely unreported figures shed some light on them, for me at least. But more information is needed.
Unfortunately, though, daily rants from the property industry lobby, and the generous reception given them by the metropolitan media, stymie quality information flows and crush proper debate.
Building a liveable city for 7 million residents in 25 years time is a big deal. Getting the property development industry right is a crucial ingredient, while a cold bath for property development lobbyists would undoubtedly help.
Kristina Keneally a victim of media pack blackout
May 19, 2010
Premier Kristina Keneally was in Parramatta recently. She addressed a gathering of business leaders and politicians. The purpose of her visit was to announce new plans for jobs for Western Sydney. [Read more]
Our greatest assets are above ground
May 12, 2010
I’m not anti-mining, but I think the mining industry cheer squad needs a cold shower. [Read more]
Industrial development solution creates a trucking problem
February 10, 2010
I noticed this week yet another development approval for the booming M7 corridor in Sydney’s west. The development will be on the old Hoxton Park Airport site. The developer is the Mirvac Group and the client is Woolworths. [Read more]
Were you surprised to see the tail Ms Gillard?
February 3, 2010
The federal government’s My School web site is a mistake. Rather than steer, lever even, poorly performing schools to deliver better outcomes for their students, the My School web site hides – no, it exacerbates the problem. [Read more]
Australia’s job performance has been extraordinary
January 28, 2010
In the growth years of the first decade of the 21st century, jobs growth in Australia absorbed population increase to the extent that unemployment rates fell to levels not seen for fifty years.
Then in the last year of the decade – when we confronted the world’s greatest economic jolt since the great depression – jobs levels in Australia held up better than those in any other developed nation on earth. [Read more]
Don’t give up – step up
January 21, 2010
The editors of Sydney’s major metropolitan newspapers now regularly pack their front pages with stories of state government crisis. Both dailies assert that NSW is paralysed by incompetence and possibly corruption, and that no further significant betterment for the people of NSW under a Labor government is possible. [Read more]


